ten months after he was nominated by president obama. baer whob is a white collar criminal defense lawyer used to work at a trade commission. so how should investors be positioning themselves as we head into 2013? here is what some of our guests have been telling us. >> next year is very much you've got to be aware of your idiosyncratic risks out there. clearly, the default cycle is quite low. you know, if companies can finance themselves at very low levels, as long as we don't get a big back up in interest rates or yields for any reason due to sovereign risks elsewhere, then i suspect the cycle will remain quite low. if you look at where valuations are in terms of high yield investment grade, in fact, valuations are still, even after this big move we've had in the last six months compared to where the default cycle is, still look a reasonable value. >> the first half of next year doesn't look all that great. we're counting on the second half of next year after there's a little momentum. once the fiscal cliff gets resolved, we think ther